UFC Vegas 105 gambling preview: Will Josh Emmett score another incredible knockout against Lerone Murphy?

The UFC is returning to the world’s mightiest APEX.

On Saturday, UFC Vegas 105 goes down, headlined by a high 15 featherweight matchup between Josh Emmett and Lerone Murphy. Can Murphy make the leap to true contender, or will Emmett reinsert himself into the title image at 145 kilos? Plus, how will you profit from all of the motion on Saturday? Let’s dive proper into the very best picks and performs this weekend.

All odds are courtesy of our buddies at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Single Performs

Pat Sabatini (+190)

Sabatini takes on Joanderson Brito within the co-main occasion in a sneaky-fun matchup. Brito is on an excellent run within the UFC (and it needs to be higher as he deserved to beat William Gomis in September), however I don’t assume he needs to be this large of a favourite. It is a basic striker vs. grappler matchup, besides typically Brito initiates grappling exchanges as properly. Brito is a strong sufficient grappler to keep away from getting tapped, but when this finally ends up on the ground Sabatini ought to management and win, and I feel he’s adequate with the wrestling to make that occur.

Talita Alencar (-114)

Alencar takes on Vanessa Demopoulos within the first combat of the night on Saturday and it is a easy breakdown: Demopouls is primarily a grappler, however Alencar is healthier. When Demopoulos was simply taking over BJJ, Alencar was profitable world championships. Demopoulos additionally isn’t an amazing wrestler, so the probabilities that this stays on the toes and turns into dangerous kickboxing aren’t that top. This could go to the bottom and Alencar is the larger fish in that pond.

Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC by way of Getty Photographs

Prop Bets

Josh Emmett Choice No Guess (+140)

The primary occasion on Saturday has lengthy odds and, frankly, I feel they’re too lengthy. Sure, Emmett is 40 years outdated and has been out for over a yr, however he’s nonetheless a really harmful fighter, and Murphy isn’t a world-beater. Extra importantly, we’ve seen Murphy get harm earlier than, and Emmett is among the division’s premier energy punchers.

However as a substitute of taking a shot on Emmett at a giant underdog worth, I assumed we’d attempt one thing somewhat safer. For the uninitiated, this guess pushes if it goes to a call, so mainly, we’re betting both Emmett will get a KO and we win, or Murphy wins a call and we get our a refund.

Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Parlay

Two weeks of parlays hitting, let’s go for 3 in a row, and going again to the gimmick. This week it’s Spherical 3 Contender Sequence prospects that I underrated.

Luis Gurule (-265)

Gurules takes on Ode Osbourne in a predominant card flyweight bout, and although I didn’t fee him extremely as a prospect from Contender Sequence, upon second reflection, he deserved somewhat higher. Gurule is a former Furc FC champion, a D-II school wrestler, and he’s pro-ready already. The person has good grappling and good cardio, and the one actual knock on him is that he’s 31 years outdated. Osbourne, in the meantime, is a identified entity and I anticipate Gurule to manage this combat along with his wrestling.

Daniel Frunza (-158)

Frunza takes on Rhys McKee in a prelim welterweight contest that I favor him to win. For one factor, Frunza is a scrappy striker with shades of Bryan Barberena to him. For one more, Rhys McKee can’t purchase a win within the UFC. In two journeys by way of the promotion, he’s 0-4. McKee goes to offer Frunza the placing contest he desires and Frunza has extra canine in him, so McKee ought to drop to 0-5.

Parlay these two bets collectively for +124 odds.

Wrap Up

Alright! It’s been a troublesome begin to 2025 for us, however the previous couple of weeks, we’ve gotten issues again on monitor. We had a strong profitable week for UFC Mexico. Now, let’s attempt to make it three in a row as we head into UFC 314 combat week.

Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!

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