UFC 307 gambling preview: Will Alex Pereira keep rolling against Khalil Rountree Jr.?

UFC 307 takes place this Saturday at Delta Heart in Salt Lake Metropolis, that includes two title fights and 10 different marquee matchups. In the primary occasion, Alex Pereira places his mild heavyweight title on the road towards Khalil Rountree Jr., and within the co-main occasion, girls’s bantamweight champion Raquel Pennington makes the primary protection of her belt towards former champion Julianna Peña. Let dive into which bouts are price betting on this weekend.

All odds are courtesy of our buddies at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Straight Bets

Julianna Peña (+140)

Let’s begin with the downsides of this guess: Peña has not fought in two years, she hasn’t received a combat in practically three years, and he or she doesn’t have any victories over fighters at present competing within the UFC. That’s not nice!

Nonetheless, Peña does have two essential issues working in her favor. First, she’s an excellent grappler and wrestler. Pennington is a little bit of a jack-of-all-trades however traditionally, some of the profitable methods towards her has been scoring takedowns, as Pennington isn’t a risk off her again.

Second, Peña is harder than superior algebra and has completely zero stop in her. If one thing doesn’t work, she is going to doggedly preserve making an attempt it till it does work. That form of relentless effort makes her a more practical striker than she needs to be, and will play into her arms within the championship rounds of this combat.

In the end, it is a coin flip combat since Pennington is nice however not unimaginable, and so there’s worth on Peña.

Jose Aldo (+118)

Jose Aldo is among the six biggest fighters of all time. Mario Bautista is an excellent fighter, however the ocean of distance between “excellent” and “Pantheon degree” is huge. Even at his superior age, Aldo continues to be a grasp and creating the combat he desires. Extra to the purpose, he’s one in every of my favourite fighters of all time and I’m at all times going to again him to win.

Picture by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC by way of Getty Pictures

Prop Bets

Kayla Harrison by KO/TKO or Submission (+105)

Harrison faces Ketlen Vieira on the primary card in a matchup that is kind of a setup combat to get Harrison to the bantamweight title.

Harrison is a two-time Olympic gold medalist judoka and a bodily drive of nature. If Vieira may preserve this combat on the toes, she’d stand an opportunity. However she merely won’t be able to do this towards Harrison which means the query is whether or not or not Harrison can get the end. Vieira has confirmed very sturdy in her profession however this model of Harrison is a special beast and I feel she will get the assertion end.

Picture by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC by way of Getty Pictures

Parlays

There’s nothing I really like greater than a gimmick parlay and there are two prime alternatives this week. The primary is the Pennington Parlay, which I’m passing on given my help of Peña this week. The second is the Glory Parlay.

Pereira is a famously a two-division Glory Kickboxing champion, the place he (much less) famously had a rivalry with Cesar Almeida. Now the 2 males are within the UFC and practice collectively beneath Glover Teixeira, and are heavy favorites at UFC 307.

Alex Pereira (-506)

So far as the precise combat goes, I wrote a giant breakdown over on SB Nation, so it’s best to examine that out, however the brief model is that Pereira is most probably going to clobber anybody who willingly engages in a kickboxing match with him, which is what Rountree goes to do.

Cesar Almeida (-400)

And on the prelims, that very same dynamic takes locations when Almeida takes on Ihor Potieria, the person who famously ended Shogun Rua’s MMA profession. That is principally an off-brand model of the primary occasion, and the end result needs to be equally anticipated.

Parlay these two bets collectively for -212 odds

Wrap Up

UFC Paris was a combined bag. We spiked a giant underdog in calling Renato Moicano’s win, however misplaced every little thing else which is clearly lower than ideally suited. Let’s hope we do higher this weekend,

Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!

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