UFC 306 gambling preview: Will Sean O’Malley retain his title against Merab Dvalishvili?

“The best stay sporting occasion of all-time” takes place this Saturday when UFC 306 goes down in Sphere in Las Vegas. Headlined by a bantamweight title struggle between Sean O’Malley and Merab Dvalishvili, “Riyadh Season Noche UFC” additionally incorporates a girls’s flyweight championship trilogy between Alexa Grasso and Valentina Shevchenko, and eight different pivotal matchups. Who walks away as winners on Saturday and how are you going to revenue? Let’s dive in.

All odds are courtesy of our mates at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Straight Bets

Sean O’Malley (-146)

I’ve received a full breakdown of this matchup coming, so learn that for a deeper dive into my thought on the primary occasion this weekend, nevertheless it boils down to at least one quite simple concept: Dvalishvili can’t end this struggle and O’Malley can. 25 minutes is a very long time to struggle completely and that’s what Dvalishvili has forward of him, the place for O’Malley, it solely takes one good shot. If Dvalishvili comes out and will get 100 takedowns, then he’ll win, however I feel O’Malley’s skill to regulate vary will assist him keep away from most takedowns and he’s to date forward on the ft that I like his probabilities to retain the title.

Brian Ortega (+146)

Ortega takes on Diego Lopes within the featured struggle of the night and it’s a testomony to how in style Lopes is that he’s a substantial favourite over the extra confirmed Ortega. And I intend to make the most of that.

Personally, I dislike Ortega’s recreation (particularly his full disdain for protection) however the man is undeniably efficient. Towards all however the absolute high tier of competitors, Ortega has discovered a solution to win, and Lopes has not. That’s to not say he can’t, nevertheless it’s unproven up to now. Give me plus cash on the extra confirmed winner.

Esteban Ribovics (+182)

Ribovics fights Daniel Zellhuber, and this one goes to be a banger. Each are younger, high-action fighters who’re going to get in there and chuck ‘em. Zellhuber does have the benefit of being an even bigger individual, however Ribovics is hard as nails and involves scrap and I feel he’s received a significantly better probability to get his hand raised than the chances point out.

Norma Dumont (-108)

Dumont takes on Irene Aldana within the prelim foremost occasion, and I feel she’s in good condition to get a win. Like the primary occasion, it is a striker vs. grappler matchup, and whereas on paper Aldana is an efficient defensive wrestler, I feel that’s a bit deceptive. Amanda Nunes, Macy Chiasson, and Holly Holm all had nice success scoring takedowns on Aldana and Dumont ought to have the identical success, main her to an easy win.

Picture by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC through Getty Pictures

Prop Bets

Alexa Grasso by Factors (+200)

That’s proper, I, the driving force of the “Bullet” prepare, am leaping off the Shevchenko bandwagon. It hurts me to take action, however at this level, it should be executed. Grasso and Shevchenko have now fought one another for over 40 minutes, and whereas Shevchenko has gained a lot of that point, I personally imagine she misplaced each fights total.

On high of that, Shevchenko isn’t getting higher. She’s pushing 37 and has been preventing for 20 years. Conversely, Grasso remains to be bettering. So if a greater model of Shevchenko couldn’t beat a worse model of Grasso, why would she win this time round? It hurts my soul to say nevertheless it’s Grasso’s time proper now and Shevchenko ought to transfer as much as 135.

That being stated, I’d be stunned if she received a end. Shevchenko might at all times strive one other ill-fated head-and-arm throw and get choked out once more, however after twice failing in the identical method, I believe this time she gained’t, which means we’re in for a choice win for Grasso.

Wrap Up

Wow. It’s been a sizzling minute since we final did one among these! Final time we had been right here it was UFC Vegas 96 and we did at the very least stroll away with a successful week. Can we do it once more? Let’s hope.

Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!

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