UFC Tampa Gambling Preview: Best bets for the final UFC event of 2024

The ultimate UFC occasion of 2024 is upon us!

This Saturday at Amalie Area, UFC Tampa goes down, headlined by a welterweight showdown between former interim champion Colby Covington and the surging Joaquin Buckley. It’s an enormous occasion as fighters make the stroll for the ultimate time in 2024, so let’s soar proper into the bets.

All odds are courtesy of our mates at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Single Performs

Billy Quarantillo (-162)

The co-main occasion sees Quarantillo tackle featherweight legend Cub Swanson, and Quarantillo is coming off a loss, Swanson merely doesn’t have it any extra. Swanson is 41 years outdated, which is damn-near prehistoric when it comes to the 145-pound division. Credit score to “Killer Cub” for proceed to compete however “Billy Q” is simply in a greater place to outwork him on this one. Add in that Quarantillo is preventing in entrance of his residence crowd and this can be a simple wager.

Adrian Yanez (+176)

Yanez takes on Daniel Marcos in a major card matchup, and whereas Marcos stays undefeated, he shouldn’t be the favourite on this one. Roughly 18 months in the past Yanez was the subsequent huge factor at bantamweight, till back-to-back losses towards Rob Font and Jonathan Martinez ended his hype. However dropping to top-15 opposition isn’t that little bit of a black mark and Yanez remains to be the much more gifted fighter. In a straight-up putting match, which this will likely be, I believe Yanez has the superior boxing and can get his hand raised.

Photograph by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Prop Bets

Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO (+165)

Merely put, I’m fading Colby Covington right here.

Covington turns 37 in February and his final two fights, he’s appeared horrible. “Chaos” nonetheless has nice cardio and the mentality to maintain coming for 25 minutes, however he seems to be in clear decline. The ghost of Jorge Masvidal had moments towards him, and whereas I don’t fairly know what Buckley’s ceiling is at 170 kilos, he packs sufficient energy and physicality to place it on a near-washed Covington. If this have been solely three rounds, I’d give Covington extra of an opportunity to outlive, however 25 minutes towards a man who hits like Buckley looks like it’s going to finish a method.

Joel Alvarez by KO/TKO or Submission (-160)

I LOVE me some Joel Alvarez. “El Fenomeno” is proof of simply how laborious it may be to achieve traction within the light-weight division. The person is 6-2 within the UFC, all his wins are by end, and he solely misplaced his debut (towards Damir Ismagulov!) and to Arman Tsarukyan. In some other weight class, Alvarez can be ranked, however at light-weight, he’s nonetheless working his solution to the numbers.

Alvarez is an all-offense ending machine and whereas Drakkar Klose is an excellent fighter (truthfully, has been in the identical top-25-but-not-top-15 zone for awhile now) he’s getting just a little older and vulnerable to the potent putting of Alvarez.

Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC by way of Getty Photographs

Parlay

It’s the ultimate occasion of the 12 months so we’d as nicely put in a parlay. No gimmicks this week, simply three fighters I like and who I believe will win.

Manel Kape (-355)

Kape takes on Bruno Silva within the featured major card bout and whereas Silva is surging (4 wins in a row, 4 bonuses) Kape is an efficient sufficient wrestler to maintain issues standing, and he has a marked benefit on the toes. Plus, Kape is preventing to sneak his method right into a title shot. “Starboy” will convey his greatest.

Vitor Petrino (-325)

Petrino takes on Dustin Jacoby in a major card mild heavyweight contest and I like his odds to rebound from his first profession defeat. Petrino most likely would have walloped Anthony Smith however he bought caught in a guillotine, and that’s not likely in Jacoby’s bag. Petrino ought to rating loads of takedowns towards the previous Glory kickboxer and end this on the ground.

Navajo Stirling (-750)

Laying odds like these on anyone making their UFC debut isn’t often a wise factor, however In Stirling’s case I’ll make an exception. Stirling hails from Metropolis Kickboxing and he’s the rarest factor in MMA: a official mild heavyweight prospect. Man is already tremendous polished and jogs my memory a little bit of a 205-pound Rory MacDonald. He ought to roll thought Tuco Tokkos.

Parlay these two bets collectively for -112 odds.

Wrap Up

We ended up a small loser final week, however solely as a result of the judges stole Alexander Volkov’s rightful win from us. Alas. Last battle card of the 12 months, let’s 2024 finish on a constructive notice.

Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!

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